It’s a new world out there in the airline industry.
Inexpensive point to point flights offered with few or no
purchase restrictions have become the norm in many airline
markets. It seems that every week sees the launch of a new
low-cost carrier or the lament of a traditional carrier that
the low-cost carriers are ruining their financial performance.
Air travel consumers are growing more sophisticated and more
informed in their direct buying behavior. Price is becoming
all important as a differentiating factor, and the low-cost
carriers are poised to capitalize on this in a major way.
Gone are the old standard seven day or Saturday night stays,
advance purchase restrictions, round trip requirements, non-combinable
fares. It seems that the only purchase rule left is whether
or not a seat still happens to be available at that price
level.
Revenue Management is even more critical…
but traditional approaches won’t work
Traditional marketing approaches may have worked reasonably
well with the old rules and a reasonable control capability
in the CRS. But automation and mathematical analysis are more
important than ever.
Traditional Revenue Management optimization mathematics assume
that there are distinct market segments attracted to differently
structured travel products and that the members of these market
segments can be prevented from “buying down” to
cheaper products through the use of “fences” or
fare rules and restrictions based on market segment characteristics.
In this environment, all fare levels could theoretically be
open at any given time without diluting revenue through unwanted
sales of discount seats.
In the new low-cost, no rules environment, however, you cannot
keep a low fare open any longer than necessary to sell exactly
the number of seats you want. You must decide just when it
is appropriate to close that discount fare in time to avoid
dilution of higher-yield bookings, but not so soon as to spill
low-yield traffic. Fare rules and CRS controls will not help
like they did before.
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